Quantum Randomization : Politico - Military Doctrine for India , Part 2 (2025)

Editor's Note

This piece by Col Mehrishi is a sequel ( Part 2) to his first piece on the same subject published by MVI on 19 May 25

Ref. Link

https://www.missionvictoryindia.in/post/quantum-randomisation-a-politico-military-doctrine-for-india

A lot of what the author advocated for the military and nation eight years ago, in 2017, proved to be most relevant in 2025 and evident in the factors that contributed to the grand success of Operation Sindoor. Hence, what the author now advocates for future operations must be considered by concerned military and political authorities based on its current value, merit, and relevance.

Col Vinay B Dalvi

Editor, MVI

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1. Military Action- surprise, deception, choice of targets & timing of hits were all well chosen in OP: Sindoor. The kinetic battle was won by us in less than 90 hours.

2. Economically -the pre-engagement strategy, of keeping the IWT in abeyance, and damning/stopping the flow of Chenab & Ravi are all measures that needed to have been adopted decades ago ( India being an upper riparian state) these measures will hit Pakistan hard.

3. Diplomatically- we were able to isolate Pakistan, but none of our so-called allies ( including Russia & Israel ) came out in our open support. The lesson learnt is "aekla chalo" ( walk alone, but carry friends & allies when a hand is extended )

4. Politically- we have a strong & decisive political leadership aligned with the pulse of the masses, which does not flinch & gets taken in by the nuclear bluff of Pakistan.

5. We can sustain a war for a much longer period as we have a vast foreign reserve & a determined Military. What then is the way forward & what is likely to happen as the situation unfolds in the coming days :

6. There will be a lull between India & Pak for some time. Some internal changes in their PM & COAS may follow. Asim Munir has already been kicked upstairs as Field Marshal with less executive powers. For the next 90-100 days Pakistan will show due diligence in handling the IMF loan.

7. Pakistan will be planning something big like

. Causing internal discord in India.

. Fomenting trouble from Bangla Desh.

. Striking at places other than J & K (mainly states conducive to their agenda eg: West Bengal)

. (USA + UK: deep state )+ Turkiye + Pakistan will try their level best to stop our 8% growth.

8. Internal Situation ( India)

. Opposition parties will go ballast in their stance of undermining the Government in power with little or less caution towards public opinion.

. The Military has to appear like a duck, calm on the surface but paddling ( working hard - training - buying better equipment - 'atmanirbhar'.... ) below the surface.

. As a Nation, we should not trust anybody, but develop a keen sense of Shatrubodh

9. What the Future Holds- the next engagement will occur over :

. Deepening water crisis in Pakistan

. Food, fuel, supply, shortages in the public domain.

. Growing disenchantment of the public with their political leadership.

. Baloch, KPK & Sindh & POK issues snapping at the heels of the Pakistani elite ( mainly Punjabi )

. A desperate attack by Pakistan to settle issues because it in any case is losing on all fronts.

10. India's Preparation- we as a Nation must continue with our 8% growth rate & muscle up to become the third largest economy. Create leverage with our allies, because none will stand by us if they don't have their own *irons in the fire*( their own National interest intertwined with ours ) Keep shoring & upscaling/upgrading the Military Strength.

11. Future Wars: Future Wars will not necessarily be fought with boots on the ground. The scenario would be :

Cyber attacks ( hackers) - to nullify communications.

Eyes in space ( Satellites ) - to detect & prevent enemy deployment & movement, before it occurs.

Public disenchantment - with their leaders in Pakistan by creating a divide between the ruling elite ( few) & masses ( large in numbers )

Targeted killings - across Pakistan, of important members/heads of terror organisations by unknown gunmen.

Water wars- a very effective tool to bring a large area under drought conditions & cause public unrest in Pakistan.

Unstable borders - keep Pakistan unhinged by keeping the Line of Control ( LoC ) & International Border ( IB ) active by small arms firing & artillery fire assaults.

Drone swarms - a fighter aircraft is nothing in front of massed drone swarms say 400-500 in numbers confronting it in the skies.

War of Narratives- is an "ongoing war with no ceasefire". A Nation that controls or pushes its narrative, across all mediums: cyber, electronic, social, print & public debate will rule the perception of the World. Perception matters in calling out the evil designs of our enemy. That is why these seven delegations were sent out by us to travel the world & mould perception & control the narrative.

Defanging of Nukes - the world realises that Pakistan is an irresponsible country having nuclear bombs. These getting into the hands of Jihadi or rogue elements is what worries everybody. In the near future, either the IAEA will step in to oversee & inspect their safety or USA+ Israel + India may collaborate in a special forces action to remove these assets ( as per Pakistan's claim) & defang Pakistan permanently.

In all postures - be proactive & never reactive. Take out terrorists/ inimical forces before they gather & organise themselves.

Conclusion: We are not done with OP: Sindoor ( it's still ongoing ) but are we planning for any future fallout of this cessation of battle? ( for some time ) India & Pakistan are in a deadly embrace ( as geographical neighbours) After so many wars & terror attacks, Pakistan cannot be trusted. They will try to say "Let's kiss & make up" ( metaphor) India should not fall for this again, as this time it could be the most toxic kiss to avenge repeated humiliation.