The Israel & Iran Conundrum

What we see and the justification we read is years of policies and strategies finally being put into play. Of attacks and responses, counter attacks and end state strategies.

War is not as simple as a Tik tok post or an Instagram missile barrage being showcased as you sit in your balcony gulping your beer.

It costs money, it has vested interests, it has allies, and it has within the people a pro group and an anti group. Once again we see a war of narratives being played. The most powerful tool in the book INFORMATION WARFARE. There will be no winners here, both victors, and they will tom tom it from all roof tops as victory cause both achieved their aims.

AIM ISRAEL - Hit Iran’s nuclear facilities and missile installations, ensuring they are set back by many years. Also building up a notion of fear, in all spheres of military security. The narrative is doing the world a favour. Depleting their missile stock in a calculated destruction to actually make their missile quantities and quality ineffective to cause huge destruction. The retaliation that Iran has carried out, if anyone thinks wasn’t expected by Israel, is a misnomer. They knew what a barrage can do to the iron dome. My belief is that this is also calculated escalation by the Israelis, they are too sharp to not have drawn the conflict management matrix.

IRAN AIM - To hit Israel and show the world that Iran is a power to reckon with. That, they possess adequate technology to beat Israeli’s defence systems. That, they have the guts to counterattack despite the US and the Western lobby. To also showcase to the Muslim world that they are the most powerful Muslim nation in the world.

PREDICTED END STATE :

- Israel put down the nuclear facilities and assassinated relevant scientific intelligentsia. Maybe building grounds for a US based negotiation. (By design or playing to the larger Western need-

- Iran show cases to the world the power it wields in the Arab world. To stand up to perceived Western bullying. Hitting Israel the enemy of all Muslims.

- What Now? It’s TRUMP & PUTIN all the way, negotiations, peace talks, super powers bringing to the table the powers to be. Two powerful nations dictating terms and making conditions that bring a silent stormy peace. Making them even more powerful.

China? They will put their money into Iran and make huge returns rebuilding destroyed Iranian infrastructure. Also selling Iran military technology in the pretence of self defence.

Will Israel stop? No it can’t … only because they have a huge inventory of military technology reserved for this day. It will come out now in stages. Precision guided munitions, guided through satellites hitting criticalities.

Iran? They will ask for unification of the Muslim world. Except Turkey, Yemen and some smaller Muslim nations, no one else will openly support. Maybe the fall of the Khameini and the Islamic movement will be the greatest moment in Iranian history.